FAIRFAX Plan

Yorkville, IL 60560

$317,990D-

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,543 sqft · Built — · Townhouse · Active · 20 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,688/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,721
• Tax + insurance: −$547
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$564
• Net cashflow: $-144/mo
• Annual: $-1,727/yr
• Cap rate: 5.77%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.88%
• DSCR: 0.92
• 1% rule: 0.82%
• Cash to close: $91,865

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $318k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-144 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $307k (3.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $269k (15.5% below list).
• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($313k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $269k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#25 in IL, #458 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
• Yorkville CUSD 115 (suburban): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #131 of 620 in IL (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Grande Reserve Elem Sch (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 2,056 statewide, top 16%, 645 students, 0% FRL); Yorkville Middle School (math 33% / reading 47%, grade F, #140 of 665 statewide, top 22%, 1,105 students, 0% FRL); Yorkville High School (math 32% / reading 39%, grade F, #121 of 693 statewide, top 18%, 2,118 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 17% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in Yorkville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.