3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,378 sqft ·
Built 1944
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,638/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,022
Tax + insurance
−$271
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$344
Net cashflow
$2/mo
Annual
$20/yr
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.04%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$54,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($20/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#137 in IA, #2,493 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Webster City Community School District (town): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #250 of 289 in IA (top 86%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sunset Heights Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 288 students, 51% FRL); Webster City Middle School (math 64% / reading 58%, grade B+, #181 of 246 statewide, top 74%, 455 students, 52% FRL); Webster City High School (math 55% / reading 64%, grade C+, #263 of 336 statewide, top 81%, 547 students, 44% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.3% in Webster City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4QP29Y4XNTA0NR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29