3 bd · None ba ·
1,128 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$984/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$535/mo
Annual
$6,422/yr
Cap rate
24.64%
Cash-on-cash
65.53%
DSCR
3.92
1% rule
2.81%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $35k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.7%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $949 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#130 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Prescott School District (town): math 16% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #218 of 238 in AR (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.
Nevada County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Exposed rafters and missing shingles
Major: siding
— Weathered and peeling
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt
Major: fencing
— In disrepair
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29