9 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,120 sqft ·
Built 1998
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,806/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,439
Tax + insurance
−$1,336
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,529
Net cashflow
$2,501/mo
Annual
$30,014/yr
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.96%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$504,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.80M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $834/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.68M (6.6% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.64M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.64M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $112k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $100k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $625k; list at $1.80M implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $504k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$180k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $16,806/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($135k/yr) (locally 3722% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4QW41A6QA9AG58
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29