2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
868 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$880/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$27/mo
Annual
$329/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($329/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (7.3% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $88k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#515 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Weimar ISD (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #144 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Weimar El (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 302 students, 60% FRL); Weimar J H (math 57% / reading 42%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 214 students, 64% FRL); Weimar H S (math 64% / reading 54%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 188 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Colorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 0.8% in Weimar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4R19847JFQH8RZ
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29