3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,271 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,256/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$783
Tax + insurance
−$249
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$264
Net cashflow
$-40/mo
Annual
$-483/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.16%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$41,818
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-483/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (3.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 646 statewide, top 88%, 558 students, 54% FRL); F. K. White Middle School (math 26% / reading 39%, grade F, #104 of 218 statewide, top 48%, 661 students, 67% FRL); Lagrange High School (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #217 of 265 statewide, top 82%, 907 students, 76% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Calcasieu Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 738 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-4R65Z0A1W1S3JT
· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29