4 bd · 3.6 ba ·
2,290 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 139 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,862/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,457
Tax + insurance
−$943
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,441
Net cashflow
$21/mo
Annual
$257/yr
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.11%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$237,969
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.8-bath units multifamily listed at $850k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($257/yr) — positive. Per door: $11/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $686k (19.3% below list).
It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($748k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $686k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 229 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $375k; list at $850k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,862/mo this rent would consume 101% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 4225% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4RAHGV133YVSBE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29