4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
470 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,962/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$936/mo
Annual
$11,232/yr
Cap rate
18.13%
Cash-on-cash
42.27%
DSCR
2.88
1% rule
2.07%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $936 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#302 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Fairglen Elementary School (math 34% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,670 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 617 students, 71% FRL); Cocoa High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,551 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 43% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4RH1N36V4D35D6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29