3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,612 sqft ·
Built 2014
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 106 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,937/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$600
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$407
Net cashflow
$-459/mo
Annual
$-5,509/yr
Cap rate
4.21%
Cash-on-cash
-7.42%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-459 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (30.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (26.9% below list).
It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $184k (30.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#746 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Quinlan ISD (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #610 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: D C Cannon El (765 students, 81% FRL); C B Thompson Middle (math 33% / reading 36%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 628 students, 77% FRL); Wh Ford H S (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,085 of 1,632 statewide, top 67%, 786 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 60% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 336 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4S966970W30XSQ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29