1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Condo
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,961/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$556
HOA
−$1,134
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$622
Net cashflow
$-924/mo
Annual
$-11,085/yr
Cap rate
2.82%
Cash-on-cash
-12.40%
DSCR
0.45
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-924 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (1.3% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $296k (1.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#10 in NY, #221 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Lynbrook Union Free School District (suburban): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #72 of 590 in NY (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Marion Street School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A, #188 of 2,108 statewide, top 11%, 454 students, 0% FRL); Lynbrook North Middle School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 266 students, 15% FRL); Lynbrook Senior High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 850 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; HOA is 38% of rent.
Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $220k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4SC9964HGAQWD2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29