3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Manufactured
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,350/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$237/mo
Annual
$2,846/yr
Cap rate
8.67%
Cash-on-cash
8.47%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#34 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: commute D, employment D, amenities F.
St David Unified District (4173) (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #200 of 501 in AZ (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: St David Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #438 of 1,109 statewide, top 41%, 303 students, 50% FRL); St David High School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D, #38 of 381 statewide, top 11%, 125 students, 39% FRL).
Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $103k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.5% in Benson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Peeling paint on exterior and interior walls
Major: Siding
— Weathered and peeling siding
Major: Windows
— Frames show wear and paint peeling
Minor: Flooring
— Worn carpet in living room, hardwood floors in kitchen appear clean
CashFlowRE · CFR-4T865S74J7SZKN
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29