4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,742 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Manufactured
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,929/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$595
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-32/yr
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.12%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-32/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (0.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4TNNF0DTW870S2
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29