3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,377/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$614
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$289
Net cashflow
$-46/mo
Annual
$-553/yr
Cap rate
10.90%
Cash-on-cash
16.47%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-553/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $91k (8.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#373 in PA, #3,295 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, commute F.
Hanover Area SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #484 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hanover Green El Sch (308 students, 94% FRL); Hanover Area Memorial El Sch (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,323 of 1,518 statewide, top 89%, 310 students, 99% FRL); Hanover Area Jshs (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #365 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 930 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 48% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.7% in Hanover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29