3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
964 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 295 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$939/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$57
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$197
Net cashflow
$318/mo
Annual
$3,816/yr
Cap rate
11.75%
Cash-on-cash
19.50%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($939 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#202 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
Searcy County School District (rural): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #82 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP.
Searcy County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4VHC4V8954GHWN
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29