3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$707
Tax + insurance
−$237
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$152/mo
Annual
$1,825/yr
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.83%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$37,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#295 in OH, #4,806 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, commute F.
Buckeye Local (town): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #432 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $135k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4VYCG36HBGVQH8
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29