3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 2020
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 185 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,833/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$385
Net cashflow
$-48/mo
Annual
$-574/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.84%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-574/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (25.2% below list).
It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $183k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#121 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Deerfield Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #209 of 597 statewide, top 36%, 803 students, 32% FRL); White Knoll High (math 47% / reading 85%, grade B, #81 of 196 statewide, top 42%, 2,204 students, 45% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 564 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4VZ62PE50W5S77
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29