3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,552 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,054/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$792
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$-82/mo
Annual
$-984/yr
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.33%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$42,280
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $151k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-82 ($-984/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (9.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (30.2% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#582 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Sumter County (rural): math 7% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #170 of 174 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sumter County Primary School (797 students, 100% FRL); Sumter County Intermediate School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #460 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 791 students, 100% FRL); Sumter County High School (978 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 77% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 39 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sumter County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4W0V02CCM83K5T
· Data 51 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29