2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,152/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$398
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$385/mo
Annual
$4,623/yr
Cap rate
12.38%
Cash-on-cash
21.75%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$21,252
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($525 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#158 in PA, #1,307 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, commute F.
Northwestern Lehigh SD (rural): math 42% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #128 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4WBWJXAMJ06D99
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29