3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,353 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,037/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$503
HOA
−$72
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$638
Net cashflow
$-11/mo
Annual
$-136/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.14%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-136/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $348k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $304k (13.2% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $304k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#224 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Marlton Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #699 of 860 statewide, top 84%, 309 students, 62% FRL); James Madison Middle (math 4% / reading 27%, grade F, #190 of 225 statewide, top 85%, 873 students, 62% FRL); Frederick Douglass High (math 18% / reading 40%, grade F, #157 of 222 statewide, top 71%, 1,159 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.8%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $210k; list at $350k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 5.2% in Marlton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4WN5W1BT1Z988A
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29