6 bd · 5.0 ba ·
2,600 sqft ·
Built 2018
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 269 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,689/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$833
HOA
−$53
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$775
Net cashflow
$-594/mo
Annual
$-7,129/yr
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.09%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-594 ($-7k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-297/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $414k (17.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $369k (26.2% below list).
It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $369k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#138 in TX, #3,993 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Hays CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 1006 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 5,270 units permitted in Hays County in 2024 (1,464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hays County population projected at +93% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.3% in Kyle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4WW12M6P0B81Y8
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29