3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,780 sqft ·
Built 1895
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 193 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,780/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$59
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$1,059/mo
Annual
$12,707/yr
Cap rate
29.44%
Cash-on-cash
82.66%
DSCR
4.68
1% rule
3.24%
Cash to close
$15,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $529/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 29.4% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4XCSN2CABC1JGH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29