1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,560 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$974/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$252
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$46/mo
Annual
$556/yr
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.38%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($556/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#502 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Leslie County (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #36 of 165 in KY (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Leslie County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $90k implies a 756% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4XDFZD83WG73DR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29