4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,333/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$1,072
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,380
Net cashflow
$5,260/mo
Annual
$63,118/yr
Cap rate
20.02%
Cash-on-cash
49.04%
DSCR
3.18
1% rule
2.27%
Cash to close
$139,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($63k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $500k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#139 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Old Saybrook School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #66 of 153 in CT (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Kathleen E. Goodwin School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #159 of 553 statewide, top 31%, 401 students, 24% FRL); Old Saybrook Senior High School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #80 of 194 statewide, top 44%, 347 students, 22% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4XNGSX3HGPBWRQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29