6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 209 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,210/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$1,760
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,514
Net cashflow
$-259/mo
Annual
$-3,111/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.90%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$224,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-130/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $762k (4.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $721k (9.9% below list).
It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($704k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $704k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $86k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $80k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $299k; list at $800k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$137k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,210/mo this rent would consume 174% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4XT3GD2W45RN4K
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29