3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,335 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,202/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$707
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$143/mo
Annual
$1,719/yr
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.55%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$37,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (10.9% below list).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#398 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
Akron-Fairgrove Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #464 of 760 in MI (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Tuscola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tuscola County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $135k implies a 217% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4Y46AG58V5FZE3
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29