5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,432 sqft ·
Built 1895
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,203
Tax + insurance
−$700
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,176
Net cashflow
$1,521/mo
Annual
$18,258/yr
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.53%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$117,600
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $420k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $420k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($414k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $414k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#3 in VT, #670 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Zoned schools: Union Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #31 of 192 statewide, top 21%, 448 students, 13% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 185 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $118k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.4% in Montpelier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4YHSCZ4C80R421
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29