4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 171 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$69
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$347/mo
Annual
$4,166/yr
Cap rate
11.50%
Cash-on-cash
18.60%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#245 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, health & safety D+, schools F.
Nevada School District (rural): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #217 of 238 in AR (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.
Nevada County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $26k; list at $80k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4YRBR7DN30Y0W2
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29