4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,224/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,797
Tax + insurance
−$571
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$467
Net cashflow
$-711/mo
Annual
$-8,536/yr
Cap rate
3.80%
Cash-on-cash
-8.89%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$95,963
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $343k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-711 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (30.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (35.1% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $222k (35.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#25 in NC, #2,391 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D.
Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Carver Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,033 of 1,410 statewide, top 76%, 413 students, 75% FRL); Wendell Middle (math 21% / reading 39%, grade F, #335 of 475 statewide, top 72%, 719 students, 68% FRL); East Wake High (math 51% / reading 44%, grade D, #331 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,646 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 30% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wake County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 1282 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 58d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4ZKRNMFT4CKW34
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29