3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 208 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$351
Tax + insurance
−$47
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$1,063/mo
Annual
$12,757/yr
Cap rate
25.33%
Cash-on-cash
68.00%
DSCR
4.03
1% rule
2.76%
Cash to close
$18,760
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($463 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
Hardeman County Schools (rural): math 11% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #133 of 139 in TN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 43 units permitted in Hardeman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hardeman County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $67k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-502KD69CS91Y0Y
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29