3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,458 sqft ·
Built 2015
· Manufactured
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,204
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$-228/mo
Annual
$-2,736/yr
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.26%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$64,260
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (17.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (36.8% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $145k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#767 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Dixie (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #36 of 73 in FL (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Old Town Elementary School (math 73% / reading 58%, grade B+, #500 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 456 students, 80% FRL); Ruth Rains Middle School (math 48% / reading 49%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 431 students, 76% FRL); Dixie County High School (math 31% / reading 42%, grade F, #351 of 667 statewide, top 54%, 714 students, 70% FRL).
Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 49 units permitted in Dixie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dixie County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-50JPKA71VS4737
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29