4 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,031 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 234 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,929/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$-120/mo
Annual
$-1,446/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.99%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$72,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (25.8% below list).
It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#251 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Russell County (rural): math 18% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #65 of 129 in AL (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ladonia Elementary School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #267 of 627 statewide, top 45%, 450 students, 70% FRL); Russell County Middle School (math 14% / reading 45%, grade F, #129 of 257 statewide, top 52%, 830 students, 77% FRL); Russell County High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,014 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 58% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 107 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $1,929/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 789% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29