3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
702 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 264 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,031/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$330
Tax + insurance
−$244
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$240/mo
Annual
$2,878/yr
Cap rate
10.86%
Cash-on-cash
16.31%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$17,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
It's been on market 264 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#227 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Laredo ISD (urban): math 21% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #739 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: H B Zachry El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 592 students, 95% FRL); Joaquin Cigarroa Middle (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,662 statewide, top 88%, 1,104 students, 100% FRL); Dr Leo Cigarroa H S (math 21% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,385 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,472 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 82% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price.
Market conditions: 485 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,448 units permitted in Webb County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).
Webb County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.1% in Laredo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 264 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-50P5NA98NK9ZT3
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29