3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$237
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$514
Net cashflow
$125/mo
Annual
$1,499/yr
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.78%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $245k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#300 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
Clarke County Public School District (rural): math 52% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Boyce Elementary (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #650 of 1,108 statewide, top 62%, 311 students, 38% FRL); Johnson-Williams Middle (math 49% / reading 68%, grade B, #171 of 342 statewide, top 50%, 425 students, 29% FRL); Clarke County High (math 67% / reading 87%, grade A-, #90 of 319 statewide, top 30%, 693 students, 27% FRL).
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clarke County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-51D3C2F86937TZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29