3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,290 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Under Agreement
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$546
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$735
Net cashflow
$436/mo
Annual
$5,230/yr
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.49%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$95,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $330k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#69 in MA, #3,818 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
Wachusett (rural): math 47% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #84 of 302 in MA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Wachusett Regional High (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A-, #49 of 343 statewide, top 14%, 1,930 students, 0% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 54% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Wachusett average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.0% in Rutland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-51HX72340YKM8Q
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29