3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,266/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$211
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$239/mo
Annual
$2,864/yr
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.74%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#752 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Woodland CUSD 5 (rural): math 18% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #427 of 620 in IL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Woodland Elementary/Jr High Sch (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 299 students, 0% FRL); Woodland High School (math 34% / reading 24%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 144 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 35 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $105k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-51K6ZB9X530T3Z
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29