4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,986 sqft ·
Built 1986
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 189 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,634/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,045
Tax + insurance
−$924
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$763
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,174/yr
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.61%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$109,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $390k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-49/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $373k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $363k (6.8% below list).
It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $343k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#489 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 876 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $390k implies a 388% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 0.3% in Fort Myers Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,634/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 145% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-52G9Y995QBNMEJ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29