2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$441
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$130/mo
Annual
$1,566/yr
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.66%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$23,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $84k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($581 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#735 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Queen City ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #355 of 826 in TX (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: J K Hileman El (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 384 students, 76% FRL); Morris Upchurch Middle (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 274 students, 61% FRL); Queen City H S (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 296 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-52QW4187B44GWZ
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29