4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,936 sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,156/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$321/mo
Annual
$3,853/yr
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.88%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $161/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#107 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Noble (suburban): math 23% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #108 of 270 in OK (top 40%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Katherine I Daily Es (379 students, 0% FRL); Curtis Inge Ms (math 18% / reading 20%, grade F, #178 of 345 statewide, top 52%, 712 students, 0% FRL); Noble Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 883 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.7% in Noble — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Slight wear and tear.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Some mineral buildup.
Minor: Exterior paint
— Some discoloration and wear.
Minor: Interior paint
— Chipped in some areas.
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown areas and basic maintenance needed.
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