3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
944 sqft ·
Built 1944
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 120 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$287/mo
Annual
$3,447/yr
Cap rate
10.61%
Cash-on-cash
15.41%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#315 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
Raleigh County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #14 of 55 in WV (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Coal City Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Independence Middle School (math 33% / reading 52%, grade D-, #13 of 109 statewide, top 13%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Independence High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #91 of 110 statewide, top 85%, 572 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Raleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Raleigh County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-52WEZSC8V46NTH
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29