25 bd · None ba ·
2,458 sqft ·
Built 1934
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 236 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,195/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,782
Tax + insurance
−$690
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,091
Net cashflow
$1,632/mo
Annual
$19,581/yr
Cap rate
12.05%
Cash-on-cash
20.57%
DSCR
1.92
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$95,172
Investor read
This is a 1×3bd/1ba + 4×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $326/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $340k).
It's been on market 236 days — a 12% lower offer ($299k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $299k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#643 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Frontier Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #301 of 590 in NY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Blasdell Elementary School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,729 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 488 students, 56% FRL); Frontier Middle School (math 38% / reading 53%, grade D+, #337 of 729 statewide, top 47%, 1,071 students, 34% FRL); Frontier Senior High School (math 97% / reading 95%, grade A+, #68 of 1,100 statewide, top 6%, 1,352 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $215k; list at $340k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.5% in Blasdell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 236 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-530259193J5KKZ
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29