3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,338 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,385/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$634
HOA
−$212
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$501
Net cashflow
$-115/mo
Annual
$-1,376/yr
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.08%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (9.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $220k implies a 577% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-537NJT1QAW4H08
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29