21-23 Hickory Cir

Saratoga Springs, NY 12831

$399,500B

8 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,736 sqft · Built 1991 · MultiFamily · Pending · 13 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $6,443/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,095
• Tax + insurance: −$666
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,353
• Net cashflow: $2,329/mo
• Annual: $27,949/yr
• Cap rate: 13.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.99%
• DSCR: 2.11
• 1% rule: 1.61%
• Cash to close: $111,860

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $400k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $400k).
• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#83 in NY, #1,284 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
• South Glens Falls Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #307 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: South Glens Falls Senior High School (math 92% / reading 91%, grade A+, #197 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 908 students, 36% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 54% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Glens Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 2.0% in Saratoga Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $6,443/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($100k/yr) (locally 497% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
• Major: exterior siding — The exterior siding appears to be peeling and in need of repainting.
• Major: flooring — The flooring in the interior photos appears to be carpeted and in need of cleaning or replacement.
• Major: HVAC units — The HVAC units appear to be in poor condition, with visible rust and wear.