3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Manufactured
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,204/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$468/mo
Annual
$5,615/yr
Cap rate
14.33%
Cash-on-cash
28.69%
DSCR
2.28
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#498 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
Vermilion Local (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #316 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Roof
— Missing or damaged shingles, potential water damage
Major: Exterior Siding
— Weathered and peeling siding, needs repainting or replacement
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown grass and weeds, needs trimming and planting
Major: Fencing
— Weathered and incomplete fencing, needs repair or replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-54275C0S893GFJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29