5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,580 sqft ·
Built 1928
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,446/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$110
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$194/mo
Annual
$2,322/yr
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.18%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (9.6% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $145k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#297 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Cape Girardeau 63 (urban): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #188 of 324 in MO (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Elem. (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,037 of 1,115 statewide, top 94%, 483 students, 10% FRL); Central High (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #234 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 1,341 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 5% FRL vs 60% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 81 units permitted in Cape Girardeau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape Girardeau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.9% in Cape Girardeau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-54RB2N5KNZ77EA
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29