1315 Devonshire Dr

Oxnard, CA 93030

$4,798,000B-

300 bd · 625.0 ba · 11,999 sqft · Built 1964 · MultiFamily · Active · 17 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $81,641/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$25,161
• Tax + insurance: −$4,959
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$17,145
• Net cashflow: $34,377/mo
• Annual: $412,519/yr
• Cap rate: 14.89%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.71%
• DSCR: 2.37
• 1% rule: 1.70%
• Cash to close: $1,343,440

Investor read

• This is a 25 × 12-bed/12.0-bath units multifamily listed at $4.80M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $34k ($413k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($82k rent vs $4.80M).
• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($4.73M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $4.73M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $33k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $144k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#905 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A-, health & safety A-, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities D-.
• Oxnard Union High (urban): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #220 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 29 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 16 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $2.33M; list at $4.80M implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $1.34M cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 2.5% in Oxnard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $81,641/mo this rent would consume 1054% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 2012% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.