1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
637 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,657/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$252
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$641
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$336/mo
Annual
$4,036/yr
Cap rate
14.70%
Cash-on-cash
30.03%
DSCR
2.34
1% rule
3.45%
Cash to close
$13,440
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#5 in ME, #732 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
Saco Public Schools (suburban): math 88% / reading 88% proficiency, ranked #37 of 112 in ME (top 33%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 2.7% in Saco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— Some discoloration
Minor: interior walls
— Some discoloration
Minor: kitchen appliances
— Dated design
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— Dated design
Minor: landscaping
— Some overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-55860GEJAWCCHN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29