2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,030 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Condo
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,490/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$378
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$523
Net cashflow
$92/mo
Annual
$1,099/yr
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.58%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $249k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $245k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#12 in IL, #274 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F.
Chsd 128 (suburban): math 60% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #22 of 620 in IL (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Vernon Hills High School (math 63% / reading 64%, grade B-, #14 of 693 statewide, top 2%, 1,505 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 32 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.1% in Mundelein — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-55J4552C0D064X
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29