2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 226 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$748/mo
Annual
$8,974/yr
Cap rate
42.19%
Cash-on-cash
128.20%
DSCR
6.70
1% rule
5.00%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $748 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#282 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Warrick County School Corporation (suburban): math 54% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #24 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 249 units permitted in Warrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warrick County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $12k; list at $25k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 42.2% vs local median 3.9% in Chandler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5676M0650R108W
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29