6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,436 sqft ·
Built 1926
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,918/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$1,088
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,453
Net cashflow
$1,494/mo
Annual
$17,924/yr
Cap rate
9.67%
Cash-on-cash
12.07%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$153,969
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $550k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $747/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $550k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($533k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $533k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#134 in NY, #2,127 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Sewanhaka Central High School District (suburban): math 76% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #43 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $550k implies a 963% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.1% in Elmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-56J4C9BKK96G2K
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29