2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,450 sqft ·
Built 1907
· Other
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,585/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$333
Net cashflow
$203/mo
Annual
$2,432/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.38%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#134 in WI, #3,510 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Merrill Area School District (town): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #180 of 342 in WI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Merrill High (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #228 of 483 statewide, top 52%, 803 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 192 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (41 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $126k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.5% in Merrill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-571Z1Y5E094SPR
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29